“We are preparing an industrial development plan”

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Aldo Ferrara

Presented on Regional Report for SMEs 2022, produced by Confindustria and Cerved, in collaboration with Unicredit and Gruppo 24 Ore, which analyzes the trends and prospects of the 160,000 Italian companies which – employing between 10 and 249 employees and with a turnover of between 2 and 50 million euros – fall within the European definition of small and medium-sized enterprises, and generate a total added value of 204 billion euros. The study took into account the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the persistence of price increases on the commodity market. This was announced by Unindustria Calabria in a note.

“The Report – continues the note – highlights how lhe spread of the pandemic has interrupted the slow recovery of Italian SMEs which in 2020 saw their turnover drop by 8.6%. The most affected macro-area was Central Italy, penalized by the specialization in sectors heavily affected by health restrictions, which were stopped or with heavy losses during the year (tourism, hotels, restaurants, fashion systems, car dealerships). Important impacts on the economic accounts were also recorded in the regions of the North-West (-8.8% and -10.1%) and the North-East (-8.5% and -9.0%), where there were the decreases in the manufacturing and services sectors, while the Mezzogiorno showed less intense impacts (-6.1% and -5.7%) due to the greater incidence of the agri-food and construction sectors, relatively less affected by the crisis.

In 2021, the estimates on the income statements of small and medium-sized enterprises showed the first signs of recovery. The Mezzogiorno is the area where the best performance in value added is observed compared to pre-Covid levels (+ 8.4% compared to 2019).

The geopolitical, economic and commercial tensions associated with the conflict in Ukraine (sanctions, trade uncertainty, trade restrictions, etc.) are being transmitted to our production system.

Based on forecasts, the recovery process of Italian SMEs could slow down over the next two years. In the “base” scenario, pre-Covid levels will be recovered in all areas as early as 2022, despite a year-on-year deceleration in the revenue growth rate (+ 2.4% in 2022 and + 2.0% in 2023) . At the end of the forecast period, the area that will grow the most compared to pre-Covid levels is the South (+ 3.8%).

The regions of the South suffered the effects of the pandemic with less intensity than the rest of the country, thanks to a production specialization more concentrated in sectors less affected by the crisis, such as agri-food and construction, and due to the greater weight in the structure economy of proximity services (eg food distribution), unaffected by the restrictions and in strong recovery in 2021 “.

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“From the report – comments the president of Unindustria Calabria, Aldo Ferrara – it clearly emerges that inflationary pressures, the war in Ukraine and the energy shock, together with the turbulence of the international scenario, are interrupting the post-pandemic economic recovery, producing worrying consequences on the resilience and the real ability of companies to continue producing. Nevertheless, the restrictive policy implemented by the ECB is worrying, which with the sudden increase in interest rates risks increasing the recessionary risks in progress.

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In this context, the Calabrian production system has shown signs of resilience and reactivity, but there remains a worrying fragility and vulnerability of the economic system as a whole also due to the serious and ancient structural and infrastructural deficits that characterize it, including an overall system weakness and an inefficient and suffocating bureaucratic-administrative apparatus. It is therefore necessary to implement immediate and diversified structural measures to ensure business continuity and support for competitiveness. Renewal of the moratorium, support for liquidity and capitalization of companies, relaunch of investments, mitigation of expensive energy, investments in human capital are just some of the measures to be implemented immediately to preserve our production system. As Unindustria Calabria we are preparing, together with the Confindustria Study Center, an articulated industrial development plan based on the huge European resources that accompanies companies in this delicate economic moment, but which at the same time already looks to the post-emergency phase “.

“The Pmi Regional Report – he declares Vito Grassi, President of the Council of Regional Representations and Vice President of Confindustria – represents a precious toolbox of analysis and proposals to support and accompany companies in the recovery process. Based on our forecasts, the recovery process of Italian SMEs could suffer a setback, with different intensities depending on how the international geopolitical situation and European and national responses evolve ”.

“The report clearly shows how the current international scenario and the effects on the price increases of raw materials – explains Remo Taricani, Deputy Head of UniCredit Italy – risk interrupting the post-pandemic restart path that the country’s production system had undertaken. banks play an important role in supporting the economy, also because in Italy they are the main Source of financing for businesses. Like UniCredit, we have never lacked our support, even in the most difficult moments. In these days we have launched a plan of action to help them even in this complex phase, characterized by a dangerous inflationary push that is entailing a risk of contraction in corporate investments ”.


The article is in Italian

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